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Showing posts with label chicken prices. Show all posts
Showing posts with label chicken prices. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

New Rules for Screwing Ontario Consumers

The Ontario Government is considering new rules on how to screw Ontario consumers for the chicken they buy.

The Government welcomes comments from Ontario citizens on how well they like the previous screwings, and how to make the screwing faster, and more effective.

What am I talking about?  They plan to change Ontario Reg 1990-402 under the Farm Products Marketing Act for setting the farm gate price of chicken.  You can read about it here then enter your own comments.

So as to prime the pump, here is what I submitted today.  The deadline to submit comments is Nov. 6, 2014, so don't delay.

The government will likely do whatever they planned to do, no matter what you write, but maybe, just maybe, if enough people give negative comments (or great ideas to make it better), they may toss us a cookie.

Here are my comments that I submitted today:

The current system is badly flawed.

If adequate protections and limitations are not included in the proposed changes, the new system will be easily manipulated so as to make it as bad, or possibly worse, than the current COP system.

It is obvious that over the last 50 years there has been significant integration and amalgamation within and proximate to the chicken SM system, as SM provides significant guarantees of higher profits and other benefits to all who are within and proximate to the chicken SM system.

This has resulted in a 33% premium price for SM animal feeds over similar non-SM feeds.  Since feed represents 60% of the total cost of production, these non-competitive, premium prices, directly and indirectly caused by SM, have a significant effect on chicken COP, and the affordability of chicken for consumers.

Excess carbohydrates in Western diets is causing or contributing to a multitude of disease epidemics, including obesity, diabetes, heart disease, cancer, Alzheimer's, etc.  Diabetes alone is projected to consume the entire health care budget by 2045 or sooner at its current rate of increase.  Note that health care currently consumes 42% of Ontario's budget.  If dietary carbohydrates are reduced, that pushes us to increase protein and fat.  Chicken could be an obvious solution to reducing dietary carbohydrates, however it isn't a solution due to the previous SM reg, and unless you are careful with how you change the reg, you will exclude chicken as a solution even more.

If an organization (and/or sister organizations) owns, controls, or passively/actively "co-operates" with hatcheries, feed mills, broiler growers, processors, and further processors, they can tweak the prices, terms, supply, and other factors for all the inputs and intermediary products and transfer so as to maximize their overall profits, other benefits, and minimize their risks.  How will the new Reg tease out the true price, or discover the best price, rather than the artificial price facade that has been constructed so as to take advantage of the regulation for private gain, while the public gets the costs and risks?

What protections will be inserted so that there is openness, transparency, and accountability in all aspects of the input data, random sampling methods, COP process, outputs, and their uses of the data?  Currently all is held in tight secrecy, and the local boards are exempt from Freedom of Information, etc., and refuse to disclose, or answer questions from the public.

Why are there no citizens, or consumer advocates on the Local Board who can help protect the best interests of the Ontario public?  The Local Boards receive a monopoly created by the public, but those Local Boards have stated that they have no duty whatsoever to the public beyond those that are expressly stated in the FPMA and regs; which are none.

The current COP has encouraged and permitted retail prices of chicken to rise far faster the the general rate of inflation.  Affordability of chicken for LICO (Low Income Cutoff, people living in poverty), minimum wage earners, and the average Ontario family has dropped by as much as 32% in the last 10 years.  Before the Local Board states what is "fair" for the farmer through COP, should they not consider what is "fair" for all of these Ontario consumers?  Does this regulation assume that the rights of 1,100 chicken farmers to a "reasonable return" supersede the rights of the 13.8 million Ontario citizens to affordable chicken that is safe and nutritious?  If so, expressly state this assumption or new government policy in the new regulation.

CFIA and University of Guelph studies have repeatedly shown that Ontario chicken is contaminated with deadly pathogens 30% to 80% of the time, and 50% of those pathogens are SuperBugs caused or contributed to by use of antibiotics in the feed and water.  Should the COP discount the value of farm gate chicken that is antibiotic resistant.

An informal survey of BC consumers recently showed that availability of free range chicken is the #1 issue for BC consumers.  Should these type of issues be used to discount or award demerits on the COP when the local board fails to adequately serve the consumer's needs?

If the chicken Board is charged with a duty to maximize the rate of continuous improvement in all aspects of the SM system (ie. retail price, nutrition, safety, biosecurity, availability, affordability, consumer satisfaction, etc.), miracles can be achieved.  Most organizations can achieve 4% per year.  What has the Local Chicken Board achieved over their 50 year history?  If the reg gives the farmers 50% of the savings/improvements achieved, passing on 50% of the savings to consumers, we suddenly are working for a shared goal.

The current way SM works, there is no requirement to improve by SM, so they become more and more fat, dumb, and happy every year.  For example, in the 1950's Canada's chicken farmers had one of the best FCR's available.  Today, the world's best is in New Zealand, with an FCR of 1.38 which is 31.8% better than Canadian chicken farmers.  How did this occur?  What is CFO doing about it?  Why isn't this top priority #1 for CFO?

Changing the regulations without considering the above is re-dealing the cards out of a stacked deck; the outcome is highly predictable, and it will be in favor of CFO and their members, and unfair to Ontario consumers.
A second problem arises from your plans to survey actual COP data.  You state that the COP should "establish a price that gives efficient producers a fair return over time."

If you use median data, 50% of the farmers will be above the median COP, 50% below.  The actual COP is likely a highly skewed statistic, so medians are more appropriate than averages.  The analogy for not using averages is the case of  the annual income of a billionaire and someone living at the poverty level, so the average is a millionaire income, which is somewhat removed from the person living in poverty.

If your COP sampling finds the median COP, those who are in the upper quartile of productivity and efficiency will likely have the lower quartile of COP.  If that tranche sub-group gains a reasonable return, all those who are less effective have a choice:  get more effective for their personal benefit as well as the greater good of all Ontario; or get out of the chicken business as they are negligent or incompetent or unable to compete.

This will help ensure the economic benefits of the SM chicken farmer are tied with the economic benefits of all consumers of chicken.

For the facts that back up all of these comments, contact me, or you can read the objective facts, research, and analysis on our Blog http://canadiansmallflockers.blogspot.ca


Monday, June 16, 2014

LICO-Chicken = "Let them eat Cake"

"Let them eat cake" has been attributed to callous aristocracy who were insensitive to peasants spending more than 50% of their income on bread, helping launch the French Revolution and the rapid increase in the use of guillotines.  Is Chicken Farmers of Ontario and the rest of the SM Chicken Mafia saying the same today?

Low Income Cut-off ("LICO") is one of the measurements used by the government to define who is living in poverty.  You are living in poverty if your total annual income, expressed as $/yr, is less than LICO (whether that income is from gambling, lottery winnings, wages, government welfare, bank interest, clipping your bond coupons, or fixed retirement pension income).

With the inflation or deflation of retail prices (eg. housing, energy, food, etc.), LICO goes up or down accordingly.

Chicken prices have had almost a continuous rise in prices for over 20 years (see Blog Posting Chicken Price Parity: will it ever come?, going up an average of 3.54%/yr for more than 17 years.  If the income of the poor has not been rising as fast as the price of chicken, then the poor are feeling the squeeze of unaffordable food.  So we pose the important question:

Is chicken getting more affordable, or less affordable for the average Canadian, and someone who is subsisting at LICO?

Scrooge McDuck counting and playing with his gold coins
(also known to to done by members of the Chicken Mafia)
To find out, all we have to do is divide LICO by the average retail price of chicken.  This provides us with the number of kg. of chicken that a LICO-earning person can purchase per year.  If the kg/yr of LICO-chicken is decreasing over time, then chicken is becoming less and less affordable for someone living at the LICO threshold.

CFO, and the rest of the Chicken Mafia seem only interested in maximizing their personal profits.  It seems they are busy counting their gold coins, like Scrooge McDuck.  They don't know about nor understand LICO, and don't want to know.

I believe that since they received their government created quota for free, and have been delegated government powers to enforce their quota, they should be acting as a proper steward, working for the greater good of all Ontario citizens.

Unfortunately, it appears that CFO, their members, and the rest of the Chicken Mafia have a callous disregard for everybody except themselves.  Witness the data on LICO-chicken:


Figure 1:  The number of kg. per year of retail chicken that can be purchased by someone earning
at the Lower Income Cut-Off ("LICO") Poverty Line.  LICO-chicken has been dropping at 1.3%
per year, down a total of 16% during the last 14 years.  This means chicken is becoming less
and less affordable by the poor.
The data in Figure 1 is derived from Statistics Canada CANSIM Table 326-0012 and ON Ministry of Labour report on Minimum Wage
and Statistics Canada LICO data with Census Agglomeration for an individual living in a community of 30,000 to 99,999 people, before tax income.  The amount of chicken that can be purchased at retail stores in Ontario by someone earning at the LICO Poverty Line has dropped 16.3% in the last 14 years (1997 - 2011).

By way of chickens having the lowest FCR of all farmed animals (Feed Conversion Level, see The Chicken Mafia Exposed ), chicken should be the cheapest available meat.

If you cannot afford chicken, your poverty has forced you to become a vegetarian.

LICO is affected by many complex factors.  CFO and the Chicken Mafia contribute to, but do not control nor overly influence LICO.  However, CFO and the Chicken Mafia have direct control and supreme influence on the price of chicken, from the farm gate, all the way through to the retail meat counter.

Not only do CFO and the Chicken Mafia have the ability to control chicken prices, I believe they have the duty to control chicken prices on an on-going basis in the best interest of the citizens.  I believe CFO has that duty of responsibility for LICO-chicken as long as SM is allowed to continue in its present form.  If CFO continues to ignore LICO-chicken, doomsday for Ontario's chicken SM system may be far sooner than they would have dreamed possible.

Is CFO aware of this trend they created?  Does CFO care?

Did I just hear somebody within Chicken SM shout:
"Can't afford chicken?  Let them eat cake!"

Now that I have exposed CFO's negligence and callous disregard for the poor, will CFO study the matter, and assemble a plan to reverse the trend of LICO-chicken?

Will Ontario's Minister of Agriculture Kathleen Wynne order Ontario Farm Product Marketing Commission ("OFPMC") to consider LICO-chicken every time CFO tosses in another request to increase the farm gate price of chicken?

Under Ontario's Farm Products Marketing Act, CFO has been delegated sweeping, broad powers over everything within Ontario that is directly and indirectly associated with chicken.  For the most part, CFO continues to ignore and abdicate its authority over the chicken marketing and processing system beyond the delivery of chicken to the abattoirs.

Will CFO continue to ignore the impact of allowing the billionaire mega food corporations to extract the maximum profits that they please, making chicken less and less affordable for the poor and everybody else?

If CFO is unwilling or unable to act on LICO-chicken, will OFPMC order CFO to exercise the full scope of its delegated powers, so as to rein in the processors and distributors of chicken in Ontario?  

If CFO put their minds and efforts towards LICO-chicken, they should be able to achieve an improvement of 10%/yr in the kg/yr of chicken that a person living in poverty can afford.

While we are at it, why aren't all basic necessities of life judged in a similar manner by governments, as the yardstick we can all use to determine if our politicians and bureaucrats are earning their keep?

If life is more and more affordable for the poor, likely it is more affordable for everybody.